Sen. Mitch McConnell recently stated he will step down as minority leader in the Senate after the 2024 presidential election. Just a few days later, Sen. Katie Britt, the youngest Republican woman in the Senate, made the rebuttal speech for the GOP following Biden's State of the Union. Does the party start to look at the next generation? If so, McConnell's successor will need to be bold.
Being the majority or minority leader is one of the most esteemed and impactful positions within a political party. Each chamber of Congress includes two leaders, one for each party. The current majority leader is the Democratic Sen. Chuck Schumer because his party holds the majority of the seats with the support of the independent senators. The Republican Sen. Mitch McConnell is the current minority leader.
McConnell recently announced he would step down as minority leader following the upcoming presidential elections. After more than 17 years, the Republican party will have a new leader in the Senate. His successor will enter a tense and polarized environment, where they will never be unanimously approved.
His Successor will not Please Everyone
McConnell, one of the most influential Republicans in Congress, is neither a wholly moderate nor radical conservative. However, he is also one of the most hated politicians in the current Congress because of his power as a Congressional leader, both bipartisan and partisan strategies play into his decision-making. Regardless of partisan or bipartisan stances, he faced criticisms on both sides. On one side, he was criticized for going too far on conservative policies, and on the other side, his frequent collaboration with Democrats made him unpopular. His successor will need to find, on every decision, the sweet spot to satisfy the moderates and the more radical Republicans.
His successor will face the same critics, with an enhanced opaque party line. This definite division between parties then blocks space for compromise in a Senate where thin majorities have been common for the last few years. The Republican leader will then need every Republican vote to advance the party’s agenda if they have the majority of the Senate.
Negotiations with the House of Representatives
The bipartisan omnibus bill, commonly called the border bill, damaged the relationship between the two legislative chambers, especially when Speaker Johnson affirmed the deal would be “dead on arrival.” It is undeniable that the successor will not only need to work with the Democratic senators but will also need to be more compliant with the House Republicans, who seem more and more divided.
Let’s not forget it took 15 rounds to elect Rep. Kevin McCarthy as Speaker, mostly because the House Freedom Caucus members, a group of hardcore conservatives, did not want to vote for him. The group's power continues to grow, unlike its willingness to compromise with the Democrats and with other Republicans. Not only were they the reason McCarthy was finally elected, they were also the reason he was ousted.
So, the future leader will need to keep a healthy relationship with the House Freedom Caucus to ensure budget proposals and public policies negotiated between senators pass in the House and require moderate stances to more easily negotiate with Democrats.
The Need to be Well-Connected
We frequently hear clamor to recruit younger politicians for powerful positions like the presidency, speakership or leadership positions. The lack of young politicians is due in part to the time it takes to develop a large and meaningful network of political connections. Biden, McConnell and Schumer are well-established in their respective parties and in Congress, which is one of the reasons why they hold such powerful positions. To win these seats, the potential candidates replacing McConnell must have strong support and connections among their colleagues.
Mitch McConnell's successful blocking of Garland's nomination in 2016 and his successful appointment of Justice Amy Coney Barrett just a few weeks before the presidential election in 2020 shows the benefits and the necessity of being well-established as a party leader. He had enough influence and connections with every Republican to accomplish what represents his legacy today.
Although the official replacement of Mitch McConnell is still far away from us, the political stance of the various candidates will be scrutinized to discover their values and what they will represent once they become the leader of their party in the Senate.
The presidential election gets closer and closer, but there is no clear frontrunner nor clear outcome in the Senate. Many surveys give the majority to the Republican Party, but it never demonstrates a large majority. The new Republican leader will then need every party vote in this context of heightened partisanship and polarization to ensure the upper chamber will accomplish its political agenda.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the individual author.
Featured Image Source: https://www.mcconnell.senate.gov/public/